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Birkenhead Sync08/09/2026|
Birkenhead Sync08/09/2026|
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Crown Green Handicap

Paula Doughty

Team: Melrose CDivision: Division 2Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

596

Current Handicap

14
Honours
Season:

20

Matches Played

4

Wins

16

Losses

20%

Win Rate

9.8

Avg Win Margin

8.4

Avg Loss Margin

3-6

Home Record

1-10

Away Record

100%

Handicap Confidence

Very Reliable
20 / 17 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/24/2026

A large recent sample: 20 matches in the 2026 window, comfortably past the 17-match benchmark for full confidence. The handicap is stable and only shifts as form changes.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Decade Player1/10
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 20 matches

+14 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

27 Apr19 May4 Jun30 Jun16 Jul6 Aug24 Aug-1371115

Gives 14 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current14
Win Percentage(40%)
20%
score-0.60→contribution-0.24
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
9.8
score+0.29→contribution+0.07
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
8.4
score-0.07→contribution-0.01
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
20%
score-0.60→contribution-0.06
Opponent Strength(10%)
856
score-0.78→contribution-0.08
Weighted Score-0.316
Sample Size Confidence
100%(20/17 matches)
Rating842 → shrunk 842→ adjusted 587
Recent 1-Season Rating (2026)621
Recency Blend27% (20 recent matches)
Final Rating596
Handicap
14

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 500). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 17, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

4W16L20 matches·20% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Melrose C2026Division 21741323.5%
Melrose B2026Division 13030%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/24/2026Jackie NewshamA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 2
8/14/2026Sylvia Wood (SB)H21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 2
8/7/2026Ann ScottH14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 2
8/6/2026Janet MantleH10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 2
8/5/2026Maggie CloneyA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 2
7/30/2026Hillary RiceA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 1
7/16/2026Paula JenningsA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 2
7/14/2026Sandra MealorH17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 2
7/9/2026Lynn HeaneyA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 2
6/30/2026Sandie OwenH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 2
6/17/2026Christine McBride (SB)A9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 2
6/15/2026Debbie Silcock (FA)A4-21LOSS-17LeagueDivision 1
6/4/2026Hefina Howarth( SB)A5-21LOSS-16LeagueDivision 2
5/28/2026Katrina LockwoodH12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 1
5/26/2026Brenda DaltonA21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 2
5/19/2026Jayne BennettH19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 2
5/13/2026Mandy GreenA20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 2
5/7/2026Joy BrannaganH21-3WIN+18LeagueDivision 2
4/27/2026Debbie PhillipsA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 2
4/23/2026Debbie BarrH21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 2

Current Streak

1losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

1

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

12

Career worst losing streak

Last 520% win rate
LWLLL
Last 1010% win rate— steady
LWLLLLLLLL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Jackie Newsham0110%8/24/2026
Sylvia Wood (SB)101100%8/14/2026
Ann Scott0110%8/7/2026
Janet Mantle0110%8/6/2026
Maggie Cloney0110%8/5/2026
Hillary Rice0110%7/30/2026
Paula Jennings0110%7/16/2026
Sandra Mealor0110%7/14/2026
Lynn Heaney0110%7/9/2026
Sandie Owen0110%6/30/2026
Biggest Win
Joy Brannagan (+18)5/7/2026
Heaviest Defeat
Debbie Silcock (FA) (-17)6/15/2026
Best Season
202620% · 20 matches
Worst Season
202620% · 20 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
30% → 10%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
84018 known · 2 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
0-30% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
4-1127% win rate

By Division

Division 24-13 (24%)
Division 10-3 (0%)
Division 10%
0W·3L·3 played
Division 223.5%
4W·13L·17 played

Debut

Apr 23, 2026

Latest

Aug 24, 2026

Seasons Active

1 (4 mo span)

Matches / Season

20.0 (20 total)

Seasons

2026